May 8, 2009

Dodgers Still Winners

Jay Jaffe looks at the new projections for the Dodgers with a 50-game Manny loss and shows that the team should still win 93 games. I buy the math, but I wonder if teams will stand pat in the face of the Dodgers losing Manny. The Diamondbacks fired their manager, so does a change of field leadership improve the team? Do the Giants try to trade for a bat to help their fine pitching staff win with a good ERA? If you think the Dodgers are going to run away with the division, maybe you don’t make moves to try to catch them. With Manny out, however, there’s an opening to catch them by improving your team. We’ll see.

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