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  • June 28, 2009

    Streaking Suzuki

    Ichiro Suzuki picked up three hits Saturday night to help the Mariners to a 5-1 win over the Dodgers. Felix Hernandez pitched eight very strong innings, allowing just an unearned run while walking one and striking out nine. A rare error by Ichiro Suzuki led to the run.

    Ichrio more than made up for it with his bat, however. He doubled and scored a run to extend his hit streak to 10 games. Impressively, his last seven games have all produced multiple hits, bring his batting average up to .375. The AL batting race is setting up to be a classic, with both Joe Mauer and Ichiro producing very high averages.

    Since Ichrio came into the season with a higher career batting average than Mauer, .331 to .317, we should start watching Ichrio’s chance of hitting .400 as well. Like Joe, Ichiro missed some time at the start of the season, so we’ll also chart two probabilities, one for 162 games, one for 154 games (click for a larger image):

    Probability of Ichiro hitting .400.

    Probability of Ichiro hitting .400.

    Ichiro’s odds of hitting .400 are about 3950 to one based on a 162 game season, about 3220 to one based on a 154 game season. Mauer right now stands at one in 329 based on a 162 game season, about 1 in 1175 based on a 140 game season.

    Posted by David Pinto at 10:25 am | Games, Players, Streaks | Permalink | No Comments

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