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  • September 13, 2009

    Massive Tie Scenario

    Saturday turned out to be okay for the massive tie scenario in the National League. The Marlins gained a game on the Phillies, Rockies and Giants and maintained their distance from the Dodgers. Three Marlins homers accounted for six of their 11 runs as they ran their record to against Washington to 12-5.

    The Dodgers blew out the Giants for the second day in a row, winning 9-1. Vicente Padilla pitched another good game for Los Angeles, and the Giants appear to be in free fall now. They’ve been a great home team all year, but their park hasn’t helped them the last two nights. San Francisco may soon fall out of tie competition.

    The Rockies’ Esmil Rogers made his major league debut, only lasting four innings and allowing two runs. The Rockies bullpen held the Padres scoreless for five innings, giving Colorado a chance to come back and tie the game as they hung another blown save on Heath Bell. Franklin Morales, however, gave up a hit and three walks in the tenth, his final walk pushing across the winning run for the Padres.

    The following outcomes result in a five-way tie with the highest winning percentage:

    • Dodgers 11-8
    • Rockies 14-5
    • Phillies 16-6
    • Giants 20-0
    • Marlins 20-0

    The Red Sox gained on the Yankees and Angels, while Texas fell to Seattle, losing a chance to gain on LAnaheim in the west. Rain shorted the Rays/Red Sox game to six innings, but there was little doubt of the final result as the Red Sox won 9-1. The Rays now remind me of an army that has broken. That’s when a retreat turns into a rout. They’ve lost nine in a row and there’s the distinct possibility they may not finish over .500. The offense is completely gone as they’ve only scored 22 runs in the nine game losing streak. If they lose the double header today, they’ll be one game over .500.

    The Rangers now have an excuse to bench Kevin Millwood as he lasted just 3 2/3 innings against the Rangers, giving up five runs. He pitched poorly in four of his last five starts, Saturday night’s effort the worst of them. The Rangers don’t need to renew his contract if he only pitches four innings the rest of the season.

    The following outcomes result in a four-way tie with the highest winning percentage:

    • Yankees 9-10
    • Angels 15-6
    • Red Sox 18-4
    • Rangers 21-1

    The above requires the Rangers to go 6-1 against the Angels, and the Red Sox to lose three games to the Angels. The three way tie between the Angels, Red Sox and Rangers remains the most likely massive tie.

    Here are the outcomes for today’s games that should improve the chances of a massive tie:

    • Boston takes two from Tampa Bay
    • The Yankees lose to Baltimore
    • The Angels lose to the White Sox
    • The Phillies lose two to the Mets
    • Florida wins over Washington
    • Texas wins two from Seattle
    • The Giants defeat the Dodgers
    • Colorado loses to San Deigo

    Posted by David Pinto at 8:46 am | Division Races | Permalink | No Comments

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