Team Offense, Florida Marlins

Can Logan Morrison emerge as a star for the Marlins in 2011? Photo: Icon SMI

The series on team offense continues with the Florida Marlins. The Marlins finished fifteenth in the majors and seventh in the National League in offense last season, scoring 4.44 runs per game.

The CBSSportsline probable batting order gives us a feel for the type of lineup Edwin Rodriguez is likely to use. The OBP and slugging percentage used come from the Marcel the Monkey forecast system, with the 2010 results used for the pitcher slot. Plugging those numbers in the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) produces the following results:

Best lineup: 4.83 runs per game
Probable lineup: 4.60 runs per game
Worst lineup: 4.17 runs per game
Regressed lineup: 4.32 runs per game

Please take the Matt Dominguez projection with a grain of salt. Having only played at the AA level, these numbers are an average of the Marcel reliability zero players. I suspect this projection is high. Still he ranks as one of the worst hitters on the team, which is correct, so I don’t think the ordering of players would change that much.

Of the lineups presented, I like the ones with Logan Morrison leading off. If I were to pick one to turn into a real major league order, lineup number three would be it. That puts Morrison, Hanley Ramirez, Gaby Sanchez, Mike Stanton, and Chris Coghlan one through five, and would give them more at bats than Rodriguez’s order.

Overall, however, this Marlins lineup looks pretty good, and the probable order ranks well with other National League teams examined so far.

You can see the results of all the teams on this Google spreadsheet as the series progresses.

Previous articles in this series:

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March 18, 2011

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