The series on objective probabilistic model of range (PMR) continues by looking at second basemen. I’ll show teams as a whole at the position, plus individuals who were on the field for 1000 balls in play. First the teams:
Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Actual DER | Predicted DER | Index |
FLO | 3122 | 589 | 493.3 | 0.189 | 0.158 | 119.4 |
PHI | 3099 | 528 | 471.3 | 0.170 | 0.152 | 112.0 |
NYA | 3208 | 539 | 490.6 | 0.168 | 0.153 | 109.9 |
SLN | 3208 | 510 | 466.2 | 0.159 | 0.145 | 109.4 |
WAS | 3219 | 503 | 471.9 | 0.156 | 0.147 | 106.6 |
CHA | 3282 | 546 | 521.5 | 0.166 | 0.159 | 104.7 |
TEX | 3048 | 512 | 490.4 | 0.168 | 0.161 | 104.4 |
ARI | 2955 | 449 | 429.9 | 0.152 | 0.145 | 104.4 |
CHN | 3024 | 480 | 460.7 | 0.159 | 0.152 | 104.2 |
BOS | 3018 | 496 | 483.3 | 0.164 | 0.160 | 102.6 |
SEA | 3189 | 514 | 502.0 | 0.161 | 0.157 | 102.4 |
NYN | 3223 | 503 | 492.8 | 0.156 | 0.153 | 102.1 |
TOR | 3213 | 509 | 502.3 | 0.158 | 0.156 | 101.3 |
OAK | 3168 | 519 | 512.8 | 0.164 | 0.162 | 101.2 |
HOU | 2964 | 437 | 432.4 | 0.147 | 0.146 | 101.1 |
TBA | 3018 | 494 | 490.7 | 0.164 | 0.163 | 100.7 |
MIL | 2969 | 440 | 439.0 | 0.148 | 0.148 | 100.2 |
COL | 3044 | 468 | 468.2 | 0.154 | 0.154 | 100.0 |
CIN | 3064 | 463 | 464.1 | 0.151 | 0.151 | 99.8 |
MIN | 3249 | 532 | 536.1 | 0.164 | 0.165 | 99.2 |
ATL | 3035 | 463 | 467.7 | 0.153 | 0.154 | 99.0 |
LAN | 2748 | 422 | 432.0 | 0.154 | 0.157 | 97.7 |
ANA | 3196 | 527 | 540.1 | 0.165 | 0.169 | 97.6 |
KCA | 3224 | 507 | 524.8 | 0.157 | 0.163 | 96.6 |
CLE | 3366 | 519 | 538.9 | 0.154 | 0.160 | 96.3 |
DET | 3132 | 486 | 510.9 | 0.155 | 0.163 | 95.1 |
BAL | 3416 | 492 | 521.3 | 0.144 | 0.153 | 94.4 |
SDN | 2890 | 438 | 467.2 | 0.152 | 0.162 | 93.8 |
SFN | 1457 | 211 | 226.5 | 0.145 | 0.155 | 93.2 |
PIT | 1622 | 209 | 238.3 | 0.129 | 0.147 | 87.7 |
While the Yankees and Marlins didn’t produce much range at shortstop, they made up for it with great range at second base. Philadelphia remains high despite Chase Utley‘s injury. Employing veteran second basemen didn’t help the Giants and Padres much.
The individuals:
Fielder | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Actual DER | Predicted DER | Index |
Omar Infante | 2730 | 526 | 433.5 | 0.193 | 0.159 | 121.3 |
Chase Utley | 1778 | 313 | 266.3 | 0.176 | 0.150 | 117.5 |
Skip Schumaker | 1608 | 262 | 229.5 | 0.163 | 0.143 | 114.2 |
Robinson Cano | 2954 | 495 | 450.5 | 0.168 | 0.153 | 109.9 |
Darwin Barney | 2265 | 378 | 344.2 | 0.167 | 0.152 | 109.8 |
Ian Kinsler | 2694 | 466 | 430.3 | 0.173 | 0.160 | 108.3 |
Danny Espinosa | 3096 | 489 | 454.9 | 0.158 | 0.147 | 107.5 |
Gordon Beckham | 2918 | 494 | 463.1 | 0.169 | 0.159 | 106.7 |
Mark Ellis | 2313 | 395 | 371.5 | 0.171 | 0.161 | 106.3 |
Dustin Pedroia | 2874 | 476 | 458.8 | 0.166 | 0.160 | 103.7 |
Jeff Keppinger | 1055 | 165 | 159.7 | 0.156 | 0.151 | 103.3 |
Jemile Weeks | 1857 | 303 | 294.3 | 0.163 | 0.158 | 103.0 |
Alexi Casilla | 1003 | 176 | 172.1 | 0.175 | 0.172 | 102.2 |
Aaron Hill | 2588 | 410 | 401.9 | 0.158 | 0.155 | 102.0 |
Justin Turner | 1461 | 221 | 218.2 | 0.151 | 0.149 | 101.3 |
Orlando Cabrera | 1582 | 260 | 257.4 | 0.164 | 0.163 | 101.0 |
Ben Zobrist | 2206 | 359 | 358.2 | 0.163 | 0.162 | 100.2 |
Dan Uggla | 2943 | 455 | 455.6 | 0.155 | 0.155 | 99.9 |
Chris Getz | 1961 | 316 | 318.2 | 0.161 | 0.162 | 99.3 |
Dustin Ackley | 1706 | 267 | 269.4 | 0.157 | 0.158 | 99.1 |
Brandon Phillips | 2783 | 412 | 418.9 | 0.148 | 0.151 | 98.4 |
Howie Kendrick | 1999 | 326 | 332.8 | 0.163 | 0.166 | 98.0 |
Orlando Hudson | 1848 | 305 | 312.9 | 0.165 | 0.169 | 97.5 |
Rickie Weeks | 2035 | 286 | 295.9 | 0.141 | 0.145 | 96.6 |
Kelly Johnson | 2583 | 364 | 377.1 | 0.141 | 0.146 | 96.5 |
Robert Andino | 1744 | 250 | 259.7 | 0.143 | 0.149 | 96.3 |
Jamey Carroll | 1020 | 153 | 159.9 | 0.150 | 0.157 | 95.7 |
Neil Walker | 1550 | 202 | 226.9 | 0.130 | 0.146 | 89.0 |
I’m very impressed that Chase held up so well despite his age and injuries. Orlando Hudson lost a lot of ground over the years. Looking at the list, there are quite a few second basemen who hit and field well, especially Utley, Cano, Kinsler, and Pedroia. We’ll see how far up the list Jemile Weeks and Dustin Ackley move playing a full season.
The big news here is that Skip Schumaker was good and the Cardinals numbers bear it out.
Huh, so Cano has a *lot* more range than Pedroia.
Oh, but when are you going to post your Objective PMG? (Probabilistic Model of Grit)
James » Dustin is closer to the ground, so he probably has more grit on him. 🙂
I am surprised to see Cano ranked so high. I thought he looked dismal in the field last year due to the weight he gained in his offseason workouts.
Pedroia is hard to figure. He is diving for balls so much it almost looks like he could make 1/2 of those plays w/o diving and that he is showboating. Still, I think he should be ranked higher than Cano, and certainly Kinsler.
I presume you are a Red Sox fan. How else could you think Pedroia looks better than Cano? Cano has always looked good to me.