The over/under lines are out on regular season wins, and the Tigers, Dodgers, and Nationals are all tied for the top spot with 90. The Yankees and Blue Jays tied for the AL East lead with 86 1/2. The Astros bring up the rear at 59 1/2.
I’d be inclined to bet the over on the Giants at 86 wins. They’ve done very well in two of the last three years when Buster Posey played most of the season.
If the Astros fail to win 63 games this year, it’ll be their third straight season with 100+ losses. Not many teams reach that level of sustained horribleness.
I think the last clubs to lose 100+ for 3 straight seasons, were the ’04-’06 Royals, the ’62-’65 Mets?
Be interested in a study looking back on past projections to see how accurate they have been.
They all have wide error bands, +/- 7 at the 95% level probably.