January 31, 2005
Thoughts on Range
There's a great discussion of the Probabilistic Model of Range going on at Dodger Thoughts. I was going to leave the following comment, but I keep getting an error so I'll leave it here.
I think it's important to realize that I'm not measuring total defense here, I'm simply trying to measure range. So turning double plays is important, but I'm not trying to measure that here.
As for differences between my system and UZR, the two are not exactly alike. The idea is the same, to look at the probability of fielding a certain ball, but I know MGL adjusts for parks differently and his zones are very different from my slices. And for all I know he's using a different set of data as well.
This is only a start. There's a long way to go before we feel comfortable with these numbers but I do believe we're going down the right path. All your comments are very helpful.
Posted by David Pinto at
12:59 PM
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Defense
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That Internal Server Error is a DT rite of passage. In virtually all cases, the comment goes through. When one reposts -- as everyone does -- the comment comes up double. I think the record is four re-posts, but that's an impressionistic -- "Cora is just better than Kent" -- reaction; I don't know for sure. I think Jon could fix this error, but he leaves it in place to make us fans prove, again and again, our commitment to the site.