October 19, 2005
Nunez to Start
Abraham Nunez is ready to start at third base tonight for the Cardinals:
"Much, much better," Nunez said. "Best it's felt. I did everything in fast motion, as fast as I could, just to see how it felt. I wanted to put it in every situation to make sure it would be ready. I think that it is."
Further down in the article is a very interesting fact:
Of seven previous times the Cardinals have fallen behind 3-2 in a best-of-seven series, they have won the series six times.
That is a stunning break from the rest of baseball - which, minus the Cardinals' seven times, is 20-54 in series when trailing three games to two. The most recent time the Cardinals won after trailing 3-2 was in last season's NLCS, against Houston.
If teams are evenly matched, you would expect a team to come back from 3-2 25% of the time. The Cardinals have certainly beat the odds in their history.
Of course, the Cards have also been on the other side of the fence. They were up 3-1 on Atlanta in 1996 and lost the series. They were up 3-2 on the Twins in 1987 and lost the series. Still, a 6-1 record when down 3-2 is most impressive.
Yeah, but how many of those times were they going back to Busch Stadium for games 6 & 7? I wonder how well the home team traditionally does in those games...