January 24, 2006
Expectations Brewing
Tim Gutowski reports that Milwaukee fans are looking for more than a .500 season from the team this year:
Expectations also explain the wave of analysis accompanying the Corey Koskie trade. Doug Melvin acquired the veteran infielder for an unknown minor-league prospect, but fans are treating the trade as if it were a coup along the lines of Lou Brock for Ernie Broglio. Don't get me wrong -- I like the deal, which certainly seems like another solid move by the Brewers bargain-shopping GM. But the acquisition of a platoon starter who hit .249 in his last season is not usually accompanied by this much excitement.
The fact that it has been is a great sign for Attanasio. People are paying close attention now, and they're doing so with a studied eye. Brewers fans understood why it was essential to trade Lyle Overbay to free up first base for Prince Fielder, even if Overbay was extremely popular and Dave Bush is an unknown quantity. Likewise, fans appreciate why adding a veteran infielder to a young team is so important, even if his numbers haven't been up to snuff for the last few seasons.
The understanding will end, of course, right around the time that losses begin to out-number wins in the standings. I'm not saying that will be any time soon -- at least I don't expect it to. But it'll happen.
In public pronouncements, Attanasio has tried to rein in runaway expectations. He continues to stress that while Ned Yost is expected to win now, the goal is for the club to be an annual playoff contender. That's both laudable and logical, but the fan base may be a year or two ahead of him.
More of the Brewers success depends upon the defensive improvement of Weeks and Hardy as they play together for a second big league season. The other half lives on the hope that Sheets will make at least 30 starts and that Doug Davis and Chris Capuano will have similar seasons to 2005. Capuano led the league in cheap wins, but Sheets was among the top 3 pitchers in tough losses which negate each other.
Hope is Brewing, but fans should know that the Phillies won 88 games last year and they didn't even get a lousy t-shirt.
As a self-appointed prototypical Brewers fan here (love the Brewers, aware of their improvements, some familiarity with but no real knowledge of the metrics for success) I'd say what Brewers fans are looking for is a competitive season.
Last year was a race against Brewers history -- could the team actually win as many games as it lost? Did that, felt good. This year, I think the Brewers fan want to experience a significant margin of the season where the box scores still matter, and whether that happens earlier or later I don't think is important.
Molitor..Yount..Lezcano..Thomas..Hisle..Gantner..
Cooper..Oglivie..Simmons..Fingers..Vuckovich..
Caldwell.....those were the days huh? Harvey's Wallbangers.......Hope I didn't piss off any BrewCrew fans out there......but I do remember thinking how fun they were to watch when they came to town or on TV.....good luck this year.