Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
October 19, 2006
Perez to Start

Oliver Perez gets the nod from Willie Randolph for the start in game 7.

Thus it becomes official: Perez, whose 3-13 record and 6.55 ERA makes him statistically the worst pitcher ever to draw a postseason start, will start the game the Mets need to advance to the World Series.

Randolph's options were limited. He could have opted for Game 3 starter Steve Trachsel, who retired just two out of the dozen batters he faced and may have lost face with teammates when he departed after taking a liner off the thigh, or Darren Oliver, who pitched six scoreless innings in relief of Trachsel but hasn't started a game all year.

Perez went 5 2/3 innings in Game 4 and gave up three home runs, but emerged the winner in a 12-5 Mets blowout.

Perez likely won't get the chance to give up three home runs this time. I suspect the Mets bullpen will be active from the first pitch. Of course, he may pitch well. If Kenny Rogers and Jeff Weaver can put together fine post seasons, why not Perez? :-)


Posted by David Pinto at 08:50 AM | League Championship Series | TrackBack (0)
Comments

One of the nice things about the twenty-first century is that the Internet makes it easy to see who's carrying the load in the postseason.

Not surprisingly, Delgado and Beltran have shouldered the burden for the Mets offense in the 2006 after-hours, with OPS numbers on the north side of a thousand. Interestingly, the maligned Shawn Green is next among the eight regulars with an okay .867.

After that it's spotty. Despite more hype than a shot-up racehorse, Reyes isn't really shining offensively. His .769 OPS is okay but hardly spectacular. Lo Duca and Wright are worse at .711 and .701, respectively. Valentin and Chavez round out the regulars with godawful .519 and .516 numbers.

The big surprise among the pitchers is just how much Wagner has stunk, with a 9.53 ERA. If it's close in the ninth, things could get real interesting tonight when Billy comes in. The long season may have run him down, and he's getting hit and hard.

Perez ain't much better at 7.94, so the Mets start tonight with big question marks at the front and back of their staff. But the middle relievers have been great: Bradford, Hernandez, Heilman and Feliciano all have ERA's under two. You better believe Randolph will go to the pen early and often if things get testy for Perez.

Posted by: Casey Abell at October 19, 2006 10:39 AM

Don't want to be biased, so I'll do the same quick-and-dirty for the Cards.

Who woulda thunk, Pujols is leading the way offensively with a 1.010 OPS. The real surprise is the number two guy, Molina. He's putting up an .840 number, which is rare air for Yadi. Edmonds is next with a reliable if not spectacular .822.

Spiezio has gotten maximum media mileage from his .781. Belliard and Encarnacion are barely hanging in at .727 and .699. Afterwards, it's horrible: Duncan, Wilson, Eckstein and Rolen at .607, .579, .559 and .531. Those last three guys will probably play tonight, so Perez will face some very cold hitters, and I'm not talking about the weather.

Suppan has been very good in the extra baseball this year, with a 2.19 ERA. And Wainwright has been rock-solid at the back end of the staff. He hasn't given up anything. Neither have Flores and Kinney in middle relief, and Johnson hasn't allowed much, either. I'd say the Cards have a significant edge in pitching for tonight's tilt, while the Mets look a little hotter with the bats.

Of course, all these numbers are based on tiny samples, so they mean little. But it's fun for a chat.

Posted by: Casey Abell at October 19, 2006 11:12 AM

And yet, Eckstein continues to attract praise for being the gritty sparkplug that makes the Cardinal offense go. He could be 0-for-the-postseason and then scratch out an infield single, and McCarver would immediately wet his pants over Eckstein's unique value as a leadoff man.

I haven't read any comments from Willie Randolph about his Game 7 choice; I assume he sees Darren Oliver as best suited to long relief, rather than starting for the first time all season. There are no good choices anyway.

And while anything can happen in a 7-game series, it's hard to imagine either team competing with the Tigers.

Posted by: johnw at October 19, 2006 11:59 AM

I figured Trachsel was going to be pulled due to performance anyway, and the "injury" was just an excuse to get Oliver some more time to warm up.

Posted by: JeremyM at October 19, 2006 02:11 PM

re: oliver perez

looked at those 2003 and 2004 stats on oliver perez. They are astoundingly good.


As good as they are, that's how bad his 2005 and 2006 stats are.

Steve Trachsel, by contrast, is a proven veteran.

This choice is dictated by the Card's problems with lefthanded pitching, but it's a gamble if the lefty you're pitching isn't good enough.

Perez came through last start, but can he do it again?

Meanwhile, the Mets have Pedro Martinez, El Duque and Victor Zambrano all on the disabled list or this series would have been over in four or five games.

--art kyriazis, philly

Posted by: art kyriazis at October 19, 2006 03:14 PM

"Steve Trachsel, by contrast, is a proven veteran"
Art, are you watching the series? Trax tossed all credibility out the window in his last outing, and exit.

Posted by: abe at October 19, 2006 05:01 PM
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