July 28, 2019

Would You Trade for Sogard?

It looks like the Blue Jays agreed to trade Eric Sogard to the Rays. Through the end of the 2018 season, Sogard batted .238/.309/.314. This year, his numbers stand at .300/.362/.477 in 323 PA. Does anyone actually believe this is a real improvement for a seasonal age 33 hitter? I don’t see anything in his batted ball data that shows an improvement.* I don’t see anything in his plate discipline, either.

*The most interesting thing is that he owns a very good line drive percentage over his career, yet that produces a low BA.

I have to believe that Sogard got a bit lucky this year, and is a prime candidate to regress toward his averages toward the end of the season. The Rays are a good analytics team, so they might be aware of something in the stats I don’t see. We’ll find out soon enough.

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