For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.307 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Alex Young.
• 0.306 — Corey Dickerson batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.305 — Ketel Marte batting against German Marquez.
• 0.300 — Howie Kendrick batting against Jake Arrieta.
• 0.297 — Miguel Rojas batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.293 — Trea Turner batting against Jake Arrieta.
• 0.293 — Jonathan Villar batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.291 — Juan Soto batting against Jake Arrieta.
• 0.286 — Starling Marte batting against German Marquez.
• 0.281 — Michael Brantley batting against Jose Suarez.
• 0.281 — Jesus Aguilar batting against Rick Porcello.

Blackmon did not play Monday, as the Rockies try to keep their star hitter rested. Note that the Mets and Marlins play a doubleheader today, so be careful which game you choose, and remember that a seven inning game presents less of a chance for a batter to get a hit.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.307, 0.739 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Alex Young.
• 0.300, 0.727 — Howie Kendrick batting against Jake Arrieta.
• 0.305, 0.724 — Ketel Marte batting against German Marquez.
• 0.306, 0.714 — Corey Dickerson batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.268, 0.709 — Tim Anderson batting against Steven Brault.
• 0.293, 0.701 — Trea Turner batting against Jake Arrieta.
• 0.286, 0.698 — Starling Marte batting against German Marquez.
• 0.281, 0.698 — Michael Brantley batting against Jose Suarez.
• 0.272, 0.694 — Fernando Tatis Jr. batting against Marco Gonzales.
• 0.265, 0.693 — Whit Merrifield batting against Adam Wainwright.
• 0.297, 0.693 — Miguel Rojas batting against Rick Porcello.

Blackmon keeps coming up number one. Ketel Marte and Howie Kendrick tie for consensus second pick.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!