January 30, 2024

Northern Trade

The Twins and Mariners pulled off a five player deal:

The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins swung a five-player trade Monday, with second baseman Jorge Polanco going to Seattle for outfield prospect Gabriel Gonzalez, reliever Justin Topa, starter Anthony DeSclafani and minor league pitcher Darren Bowen.

The Mariners are also giving the Twins cash considerations. Both teams announced the deal Monday night.

ESPN.com

That seems like a pretty good haul for Polanco. He peaked at seasonal age 27 in 2021 at 4.2 fWAR, and posted 1.8 and 1.5 fWAR seasons since. In the last two seasons he saw both his walk rate and K rate increase, but the increase K rate came with a decrease in power, which is not the way that is supposed to work. FanGraphs also has him as a below average fielder.

Gonzalez, at seasonal age 19, tore up A ball but struggled at A+. Overall, his three season minor league career shows someone who can hit for average, get on base, and hit for power.

Topa is a rare low strikeout reliever, but keeps the ball in the park and doesn’t walk many batters. He allows little power, with just 21 of the 89 hits against him going for extra bases in his career.

DeSclafani followed up his great 2021 season with two years of injuries, but the Twins need starting pitchers after losing three starters to free agency. Bowen is a wild flame thrower with little professional experience under his belt.

The Twins are looking to rebuild after a division win, while the Mariners are looking to keep their streak of missing the playoffs to one season. Seattle second basemen hit .205/.294/.313 in 2023, so this trade addresses a glaring weakness. The Twins get a potential young star and some pitching depth. We’ll know by the end of the season how the Mariners did in the trade, but it will be a while to know if it was worth it for Minnesota.

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