The Mariners post ended the team offense series. The following table is from the Google spreadsheet, sorted by runs per game for the probable lineup.
| Team | Best | Probable | Worst | Regressed | Percent of Best |
| Boston Red Sox | 5.4 | 5.29 | 5.04 | 4.82 | 69.44 |
| Detroit Tigers | 5.43 | 5.27 | 5.08 | 4.80 | 54.29 |
| Texas Rangers | 5.36 | 5.26 | 5.07 | 4.79 | 65.52 |
| New York Yankees | 5.16 | 5.08 | 4.87 | 4.66 | 72.41 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 5.2 | 5.06 | 4.88 | 4.64 | 56.25 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 5.01 | 4.95 | 4.79 | 4.56 | 72.73 |
| Kansas City Royals | 4.95 | 4.83 | 4.68 | 4.47 | 55.56 |
| Cleveland Indians | 4.96 | 4.83 | 4.71 | 4.47 | 48.00 |
| Minnesota Twins | 4.83 | 4.76 | 4.5 | 4.41 | 78.79 |
| Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim | 4.91 | 4.75 | 4.61 | 4.41 | 46.67 |
| Colorado Rockies | 4.91 | 4.69 | 4.32 | 4.36 | 62.71 |
| Chicago White Sox | 4.72 | 4.66 | 4.47 | 4.34 | 76.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 4.67 | 4.63 | 4.45 | 4.31 | 81.82 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 4.82 | 4.58 | 4.31 | 4.28 | 52.94 |
| Miami Marlins | 4.74 | 4.54 | 4.19 | 4.25 | 63.64 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 4.79 | 4.54 | 4.23 | 4.25 | 55.36 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 4.69 | 4.5 | 4.16 | 4.22 | 64.15 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.62 | 4.48 | 4.27 | 4.20 | 60.00 |
| Oakland Athletics | 4.47 | 4.44 | 4.27 | 4.17 | 85.00 |
| Seattle Mariners | 4.43 | 4.37 | 4.08 | 4.12 | 82.86 |
| Atlanta Braves | 4.55 | 4.3 | 3.99 | 4.06 | 55.36 |
| Washington Nationals | 4.49 | 4.29 | 3.99 | 4.06 | 60.00 |
| San Francisco Giants | 4.39 | 4.22 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 61.36 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.46 | 4.22 | 3.96 | 4.00 | 52.00 |
| New York Mets | 4.51 | 4.22 | 3.94 | 4.00 | 49.12 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.41 | 4.17 | 3.9 | 3.96 | 52.94 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.25 | 4.05 | 3.65 | 3.87 | 66.67 |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.27 | 4.05 | 3.74 | 3.87 | 58.49 |
| San Diego Padres | 4.25 | 4.04 | 3.75 | 3.86 | 58.00 |
| Houston Astros | 4.14 | 3.97 | 3.72 | 3.81 | 59.52 |
The AL East should be a very interesting division this season. Four of the top six offenses according to this ranking come from that division. On top of that, there are a number of excellent pitchers going up against these offenses. It would appear that if you like baseball at its best, the AL East is the division to watch.
I included a column to try to measure which managers are coming closest to the optimum lineup. The formula is 100.0*(Probable-Worst)/(Best-Worst). That yields the percentage of the way the probable lineup lies from the worst to the best. The Oakland Athletics score the highest, with their probable lineup 85% of the way to the optimum batting order. The Mariners and Orioles also rate over 80%. While Oakland and Seattle don’t have the fire power of LAnaheim and Texas, they are trying to get the biggest bang for their buck out of their offensive personnel.
At the other end, the Angels, Indians and Mets all come in under 50%, meaning they are leaving runs on the table. Remember this if the Angels fall a few runs short of a playoff spot.
The complete series of posts are below:
- Explanation
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees
- Texas Rangers
- Detroit Tigers
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Colorado Rockies
- Cincinnati Reds
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Kansas City Royals
- Milwaukee Brewers
- New York Mets
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Baltimore Orioles
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Cleveland Indians
- Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
- Chicago White Sox
- Chicago Cubs
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Oakland Athletics
- Atlanta Braves
- Washington Nationals
- Miami Marlins
- Minnesota Twins
- Houston Astros
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- San Diego Padres
- San Francisco Giants
- Seattle Mariners
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