June 3, 2016

Cubs Meeting Expectations

The Chicago Cubs beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 6-0 Friday afternoon to run their record to 38-15, a .717 winning percentage. Going into the season I thought the Cubs had a shot at an historic season, and a .717 would translate to 116 wins over a full season.

There’s little luck involved here. This record is not a result of doing well in close games. The Cubs are blowing away their opponents:

Best records in games decided by five runs or more, 2016
Team Record
Cubs 20-3
Nationals 11-4
Red Sox 11-4
Giants 10-4
Mariners 12-5

No team is close in terms of wins in this category. They are 7-6 in one runs games. All five teams are division leaders or share a division lead.

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