Category Archives: All-Time Greats

July 21, 2024

Historical Hall Futures

Tom Tango thought it would be a good exercise to run the data from the previous post for 20 year periods in the past. Here’s the list from players active in 1964:

BatterAge 24 SeasonPAHOF
Al Kaline19593776Yes
Vada Pinson19633552
Mickey Mantle19563491Yes
Orlando Cepeda19623220Yes
Bill Mazeroski19613174Yes
Hank Aaron19583173Yes
Frank Robinson19603155Yes
Eddie Mathews19563141Yes
Ron Santo19643089Yes
Tony Kubek19612900
Carl Yastrzemski19642676Yes
Zoilo Versalles19642661
Roberto Clemente19592560Yes
Johnny Callison19632426
Brooks Robinson19612420Yes
Willie Davis19642347
Gus Bell19532277
Duke Snider19512232Yes
Curt Flood19622214
Nellie Fox19522200Yes
Tommy Davis19632191
Harvey Kuenn19552177
Dick McAuliffe19642171
Roy McMillan19542099
2000 PA through Seasonal Age 24, active in 1964, through 1964.

So 24 players in 1964 and reached their 24 season with at least 2000 PA. Thirteen of them made the Hall of Fame as a player. Note that pre draft, there was a baby bonus rule that required teams to keep high priced amateurs in the majors the first year they signed. That’s why Al Kaline didn’t play in the minors.

Here’s the table for 1984.

BatterAge 24 SeasonPAHOF
Robin Yount19804142Yes
Cesar Cedeno19753491
Rusty Staub19683302
Buddy Bell19762945
Butch Wynegar19802920
Rickey Henderson19832891Yes
Ted Simmons19742888Yes
Claudell Washington19792840
Garry Templeton19802764
Alan Trammell19822743Yes
Eddie Murray19802726Yes
Rick Manning19792672
Lloyd Moseby19842667
Terry Puhl19812587
Tim Raines19842559Yes
George Brett19772556Yes
Tim Foli19752538
Chris Speier19742522
Willie Randolph19792471
Greg Luzinski19752451
Alfredo Griffin19822429
Jason Thompson19792392
Jack Clark19802381
Carney Lansford19812320
Bob Horner19822277
Larry Parrish19782254
Jeff Burroughs19752227
Chet Lemon19792211
Derrel Thomas19752201
Gary Carter19782168Yes
Steve Sax19842140
Harold Baines19832137Yes
Sixto Lezcano19782106
Ryne Sandberg19842092Yes
Bill Buckner19742086
Lou Whitaker19812074
Greg Gross19772058
Glenn Hubbard19822041
Roy Howell19782040
Lee Mazzilli19792023
Jim Rice19772022Yes
Pete Rose19652011*
Darrell Porter19762009
Andre Dawson19792002Yes
2000 PA through Seasonal Age 24, active in 1984, through 1984

The expansion era brought in more young players, 44 meeting the criteria. Twelve made the Hall of Fame with an asterisk for Pete Rose.

Here’s the table for 2004:

BatterAge 24 SeasonPAHOF
Ken Griffey Jr.19943606Yes
Alex Rodriguez20003515*
Roberto Alomar19923349Yes
Andruw Jones20013312
Adrian Beltre20033161Yes
Ruben Sierra19903130
Edgar Renteria20003038
Ivan Rodriguez19962868Yes
Albert Pujols20042728NE
Juan Gonzalez19942440
Gary Sheffield19932419
Carlos Baerga19932388
Barry Bonds19892388*
Cristian Guzman20022329
Eric Chavez20022276
Troy Glaus20012199
John Olerud19932186
Jimmy Rollins20032169
Derek Jeter19982147Yes
Adam Dunn20042112
Sammy Sosa19932052*
Robin Ventura19922022
Ben Grieve20002019
Scott Rolen19992011Yes
Johnny Damon19982006
2000 PA through Seasonal Age 24, active in 2004, through 2004

This group contains 25 players. Six were elected to the Hall of Fame, Albert Pujols is not yet eligible, while A-Rod, Bonds, and Sosa will not go in for PED use. So ten deserving out of 25.

Combing the results, we get 31 players elected to the hall, one who will go in on the first ballot, and four with asterisks. Let’s put Pujols in, so 32 out of 93 get elected, 34.4% and 38.7% if you include asterisks.

July 21, 2024

Hall Futures

Tom Tango posted this yesterday:

One way to get a handle on this for hitters is to look for lots of plate appearances young. Here is the list of batters active in 2024 with the most PA through their age 24 season:

BatterAge 24 SeasonPA
Mike Trout20163558
Juan Soto20233375
Manny Machado20173365
Bryce Harper20173262
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.20232843
Jason Heyward20142819
Xander Bogaerts20172652
Giancarlo Stanton20142640
Freddie Freeman20142616
Francisco Lindor20182590
Ozzie Albies20212440
Carlos Correa20192362
Rafael Devers20212344
Mookie Betts20172309
Ronald Acuna20222297
Jose Altuve20142243
Christian Yelich20162117
Cody Bellinger20202083
Andrew Benintendi20192052
Active Players, 2000 PA through their age 24 season.

Lots of PA early gives batters a chance to build high counting stats over time. It also indicates special talent; these players were so good they could come up early and stay in the lineup.

I would say nine of the nineteen listed here have pretty good Hall of Fame chances. Three of the top four likely made their case already, and Soto doesn’t need to do much more. Freeman, Devers, Betts, Acuna, and Altuve seem likely. Albies might surprise us if he lasts a long time. Even among the ones not likely to make it, there are a few MVPs and lots of big contracts.

July 21, 2024

Hall of Fame Day

Adrian Beltre, Todd Helton, Joe Mauer, and manager Jim Leyland face the crowd this afternoon in Cooperstown during their Hall of Fame inductions. It’s a great group. Beltre stood out in an era of great third baseman. He hit well, he fielded great, and continued playing at a high level into his late 30s. Helton stood as one of the few Rockies who was a great hitter away from Coors. While Coors helped him a great deal, he hit .287/.386/.469 on the road. Mauer combined great hitting with great defense behind the plate, and I think voters did a good job here of recognizing that Hall of Fame standards need to be a little different for catchers given the injuries they accumulate.

I really hope Leyland gives his speech with a cigarette dangling from his mouth. Bun E. Calos would:

July 4, 2024

The Limits of Offense

One thing I like about the All-Star starting lineups for 2024 is how they demonstrate the limits on putting together a great team. The lineup analysis here shows the AL squad capable of generating seven runs a game. Imagine a lineup with Adley Rutschman and Vladimir Guerrero bat eighth and ninth!

If you put that team in a 4.5 runs/game league, you would expect them to post a winning percentage of .708 or a 115-47 record. I like that number, as it is the mirror image of replacement level. Forty eight wins is sometimes used as replacement level, as it is the theoretical floor for wins by a major league team. So it’s not surprising, if you put together a superstar lineup, the ceiling for wins should be around 114.

It’s also the reason most organizations don’t try to have a lineup packed with superstars. Ninety five wins today means a trip to the playoffs. There’s no need to spend the money on the extra 20 wins, unless maybe you really need to win a World Series.

You can try getting really extreme with the LAT. Make a lineup of your favorite hitters, or even who you think are the greatest players at each position. Take their best season, or their three-year peak, and put in the OBP and Slugging percentages, and see how many runs you can generate. Maybe when I get time I’ll attempt this lineup:

  1. Barry Bonds, lf
  2. Willie Mays, cf
  3. Cal Ripken Jr., ss
  4. Babe Ruth, rf
  5. Ted Williams, dh
  6. Albert Pujols, 1b
  7. Mike Piazza, c
  8. Mike Schmidt, 3b
  9. Joe Morgan, 2b

Substitute as you like.

June 20, 2024

Game of the Day

Today is Willie Mays Day.

I have heard many anecdotes over the years about people timing their deaths. There is research on this subject regarding taxes. George Steinbrenner might be an example of that. I knew two Red Sox fans in their 80s who were failing, and died shortly after Boston won the 2004 World Series. I’ve heard stories of people sitting vigil over a loved one, only for that person to die when the room was empty. Maybe Mays thought a game at Rickwood Field would be a fitting funeral.

This was planned to be a celebration of Mays. He did issue a statement for Dusty Baker to read:

Mays remained a class act to the end. His Giants will be the visiting team as they face the Cardinals. Both teams are involved in an extremely tight race for the second and third wild card slots in the NL, Nine teams are within a game and half of the second slot, with Washington and St. Louis tied and for the last playoff positions right now. All those teams are under .500.

Kenton Winn takes the mound for San Francisco. On a day where there will likely be talk of Mays in heaven, Winn takes a 6.66 ERA to the mound. Opponents slug .470 against him and his five triples allowed make him one of four pitchers to give up that many this season.

The Cardinals may try to exorcise Winn’s ERA as Andre Pallante takes the mound against him. Pallante moved into the St. Louis rotation on 5/29, and is 2-2 with a 3.63 ERA in his four starts. He does own a high walk rate in that time, but it’s tempered by only allowing one home run.

Enjoy the game, and keep Mays and the other legends of Rickwood Field in mind as you watch tonight.

June 18, 2024

Best Living

With the passing of Willie Mays, it’s a tough decision on who takes the mantle of greatest living ballplayer. When Joe DiMaggio died, Mays was pretty much a lock to take over. It may very well be Barry Bonds, which would be fitting since Mays was a second father to him. I don’t think people would go for that due to the steroid issue, however. It might also be Pete Rose, who has his own scandals weighing on him.

A friend and I are spit-balling names, and our list includes, in no particular order:

Griffey would fit the mold of the great centerfielder. Ryan pitched extremely well into his 40s. Ripken transformed the position of shortstop. Brett and Schmidt were great hitters and great defenders at the hot corner. Henderson was known for his speed, but hit for plenty of power. Pujols and Trout simply put runs on the board. Maddux may be the best pitcher I’ve ever seen. Cabrera led the Marlins to a World Series title his rookie year and went on to win a triple crown.

I’m sure you can think of others, please leave names in the comments. I think this is a much tougher choice than we faced in the late 1990s.

Update: Should have included Reggie Jackson and Derek Jeter.

April 8, 2024

Remembering Aaron

Tonight is the 50th anniversary of Hank Aaron hitting his 715th career home run to set a new record for long balls. Babe Ruth hit his 714th home run in 1935, having long held the career mark.

Fourteen years old at the time, I remember it also being a Monday night, and in this case memory serves me correctly. NBC, which owned the national rights to baseball broadcasts at the time, interrupted their programing with Aaron plate appearances as he approached the record. I don’t remember if the Monday game was broadcast nationally on NBC, or if they were cutting in, but I was watching. I remember not being sure if the ball was going out. Aaron got a little underneath it. Bill Buckner climbed the fence to no avail, and the record was set.

The other memory that stayed with me came from the two fans running on the field. It was rather unexpected, and the two of them were patting Aaron on the back. I don’t remember being aware that this might have been a dangerous situation, just a surprising one.

I started paying attention to the game in 1969, and during those five years there was plenty of talk about Willie Mays or Aaron breaking the record. Mays was three years older, however. Mays started to decline, while Aaron hit 203 home runs from 1969 to 1973. That’s a great five year stretch for any player, but Aaron did that in his age 35-39 seasons.

It should be a big night in Atlanta.

January 23, 2024

Beltre Day

The Hall of Fame announces the Baseball Writers selections for the Hall of Fame Tuesday night at 6 PM. The Hall of Fame Ballot Tracker shows third baseman Adrian Beltre as a shoe in, although he won’t be unanimous. He is certainly in the top five of third basemen all time, although an inconsistent offensive career probably kept him out of the top slot.

ESPN talks to four baseball men close to Beltre, each providing a view of his greatness. In the section on Elvis Andrus, comes the bit about Beltre’s joy for the game:

Beltré’s Hall of Fame résumé was built on his prowess, but his essence was marked by the spontaneity and hilarity of his antics — by the unique ways in which he emanated joy. Like when he dodged a liquid bath with a push broom. Or ran toward the pitcher’s mound during a rundown. Or stopped his stride like a Looney Tunes character. Or pushed José Altuve off third base. Or mockingly danced at Andrelton Simmons. Or screamed at Hernández on his way to first. Or dragged the on-deck circle before an at-bat, triggering one of the most ridiculous ejections in recent memory.

Beltré’s ability to exude levity and tenacity simultaneously made him unlike any others before him. It was his gift to the sport — and Andrus, his shortstop partner throughout his eight-year stint with the Texas Rangers, often triggered it with those unrelenting attempts to rub the top of his head.

ESPN.com

He was also the rare player who could actually play through pain.

Beltre managed to stand out in a golden era of third baseman. Brooks Robinson had some competition from Graig Nettles in the second half of Robinson’s career. George Brett and Mike Schmidt lit up the second half of the 1970s and the 1980s. Beltre’s career started in 1998 and ended in 2018. Adding two seasons around that gives us a good view of his contemporaries. The list is sorted by at bats as a third baseman. The top six were incredible, and the top nine were certainly excellent.

Beltre brought offensive skills, defensive skills, and leadership skills to the game, not going into a decline until his late 30s. He checks all the boxes for the Hall, and it’s good to see that he will go in with a very high vote percentage on the first ballot.

January 22, 2024

Sandberg Ill

Doctors diagnosed Hall of Famer Ryne Sandberg with cancer:

Hall of Fame second baseman Ryne Sandberg, who played 15 seasons for the Chicago Cubs, announced on Instagram that he has been diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer and has begun treatment.

“To my Chicago Cubs, National Baseball Hall of Fame, extended Baseball Family, the city of Chicago, and all my loyal fans, I want to share some personal news,” Sandberg wrote in the post Monday. “Last week, I learned that I have been diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer. I have begun treatment, and I am surrounded by my loving wife Margaret, our incredibly supportive family, the best medical care team, and our dear friends.

“We will continue to be positive, strong, and fight to beat this. Please keep us in your thoughts and prayers during this difficult time for me and my family.”

ESPN.com

Here is wishing Sandberg a full recovery. I suspect it will be a tough go.

January 21, 2024

More Closers

David Laurila makes his case for more closers in the Hall of Fame:

Personally, I don’t think there are enough closers in the Hall of Fame. It’s not as though the role isn’t important, and it certainly isn’t recent. The first 15-save season came exactly 100 years ago, with Firpo Marberry doing the honors with the Washington Senators (the right-hander added two more saves in that year’s World Series). Marberry subsequently logged the first 20-save season in 1926, and by career’s end he’d led the American League in saves and appearances six times each. Marberry isn’t in the Hall of Fame, but when you factor in his historical significance — ditto his higher JAWS score than all of Rollie FingersLee Smith, and Bruce Sutter — he arguably should be.

FanGraphs.com

Of course, managers used Marberry differently than modern closers. Twenty six of his ninety nine saves came when he entered the game with at least one out already recorded in the inning. Marberry operated as a fireman, a term in use for pitchers who entered the game in a dire situation. You never hear that term used anymore, as closer took over. In comparison, only seventeen of Billy Wagner’s 422 saves came with outs already recorded in an inning. Closers no longer put out fires, they prevent fires from happening.

My feeling is that for a closer to make the Hall of Fame, they need to be the best of their generation. I don’t think Wagner makes the cut in that regard.

January 20, 2024

Anticipating a Mauer Honor

Bobby Nightengale of the Star Tribune reviews Joe Mauer‘s baseball career from T-Ball to his last game at catcher:

In a family filled with athletes, Joe always stood out. There is a picture of Mauer, his diaper partially showing, on a trip to the batting cage with his two older brothers. Mauer’s mother, Teresa, said he was booted from a tee-ball league in St. Paul at 4 years old because he hit the ball too hard.

StarTribune.com

Mauer is currently at 84.2% at the Hall of Fame Tracker. The public ballots tend to be more generous than the private ballots, so Mauer may just get in. I suspect the final tally will be around 78%.

January 17, 2024

Doc and Darryl

The Mets announced they will retire the numbers of Dwight Gooden and Darryl Strawberry, two players who emerged in the mid 1980s to propel the Mets to a World Championship. The two discussed their downfalls in a new conference:

“We were mentally crazy at the time, so we needed a lot help,” Strawberry said Wednesday. “We could have used every doctor and every psychiatrist — they probably would have ran away from us every time because we were so young and so focused on what it was like to be on the field and doing what we was doing on the field and we was not taking care of ourselves.”

“I remember at times literally crying, going to get drugs, crying to go buy alcohol. That’s a problem. That’s a mental problem,” Gooden said, recalling his last descent in 2019. “Last time, instead of going to rehab, I put myself into a mental hospital.”

ESPN.com

Their peaks were short but spectacular. Too bad they didn’t last longer.

December 15, 2023

Doby Honored

Larry Doby posthumously received the Congressional Gold Medal on the 100th anniversary of his birth. Doby became the second African American player in the majors and the first in the American League:

“Larry Doby will forever be remembered as a pioneer who demonstrated great character and courage throughout his life,” Major League Baseball commissioner Rob Manfred said in a statement. “His legacy as a trailblazing player and manager endures to this day, and he will always remain one of the great heroes that our national pastime and nation have ever known.”

ESPN.com

Doby beat Jackie Robinson to a World Series title, winning his in 1948 with the Indians.

December 3, 2023

Leyland to the Hall

The Contemporary Baseball Era Committee of the Hall of Fame selected manager Jim Leyland for induction. Leyland received 15 of 16 votes:

Nominees needed to be named on at least 12 ballots for enshrinement. Falling just short was former manager Lou Piniella, who was named on 11 ballots. Executive Bill White was listed on 10 ballots. Also considered were managers Cito Gaston and Davey Johnson, umpires Ed Montague and Joe West, and executive Hank Peters.

ESPN.com

While Leyland led the Pirates to the playoffs and the Marlins to a World Series title, the Tigers were the only one of his four teams with a winning record for the length of his tenure. When Leyland had the players, he could bring them into the playoffs. He wasn’t a miracle worker, however, and when the Pirates and Marlins lost their talent, not even a great manager could help.

Congratulations to Leyland on a well deserved honor. I’m a bit disappointed that White and Johnson did not make it.

December 1, 2023

Johnson for the Hall

Hall of Fame third baseman Mike Schmidt makes the case for Davey Johnson‘s election to the Hall of Fame:

Now almost 81, Davey sits in a rocker on his porch, a unique baseball man who experienced more than maybe any ever. One thing he was not was a “yes” man. He had his differences with ownership in New York, Cincinnati and Baltimore, but nothing stopped him from winning. He was Manager of the Year in both leagues. He won in the majors, the minors, the Olympics, the WBC, collegiate leagues. Give him a team and it won.

He finished 301 games over .500 as a manager and is 10th all-time in winning percentage among those winning at least 1,000 games. The nine managers above him on that list are all in the Hall.

Chron.com

It strikes me that a number of managers in the Hall of Fame for their field direction tended to have success with one team for a long time. Teams fired Johnson, and after the Mets, his tenures tended to be brief.

I agree with Schmidt, however. In my years watching the game, Johnson ranks with the best strategists I’ve seen. I hope the committee recognizes that trait.

November 20, 2023

Ballot Boost

The Hall of Fame ballot gets an influx of excellent players for voters to consider:

Adrián Beltré, Joe Mauer, Chase Utley, David Wright, José Bautista and Matt Holliday are among 12 new candidates on the Hall of Fame ballot released Monday.

Chron.com

Beltre, one of the greatest third basemen ever, should be an easy first ballot selection. Utley will get plenty of support. To me, Mauer is the tough choice. With 51 fWAR, he is a bit low for the Hall of Fame. Catchers, unfortunately, tend to play fewer seasons due to the wear and tear of the position. He ranks behind Buster Posey, so is similar, but also led the Giants to three World Championships. I suspect this class will have a number of players go the ten-year distance without getting in.

July 23, 2023

McGriff and Rolen

Fred McGriff and Scott Rolen entered the baseball Hall of Fame today. Both spoke of their work ethic. Here’s McGriff:

His words built on a theme of continuing to work in pursuit of your dreams, an ethic McGriff embodied from the time he was cut from his 10th grade team.

“I was on a mission to improve as a hitter,” McGriff said. “It was time to work. That meant becoming a student of the game, reading books, watching videos about hitting. Charlie Lau‘s ‘The Art of Hitting .300’ became my go-to book. It was like my bible.”

ESPN.com

Rolen:

Most of Rolen’s speech went on to celebrate the work ethic and simple values of his small-town background, manifested in the support and guidance from his parents, including his father urging him to focus on what he can do, not what he can’t, with the words “do that, then.”

“‘Do that, then’ carried me into the minor leagues and gave me a simple mindset that I would never allow myself to be unprepared or outworked,” Rolen said. “‘Do that, then’ put me on this stage today.”

Congratulations to both men on a well deserved honor.

July 23, 2023

Rolen’s Defense

As Scott Rolen enters the Hall of Fame today, teammates reflect on this defense. Here is Todd Zeile, a third baseman himself:

Todd Zeile was Scott Rolen’s first major league first baseman and an experienced third baseman in his own right. The 1996 Phillies were the third of Zeile’s 11 MLB teams. He had a lot of teammates, but few compared to Rolen defensively.

Todd Zeile (Phillies 1B, 1996): “There’s a timing mechanism that good third basemen have [so] that they know how much time they have to deliver the ball to get the runner by a step. Scott, for as athletic as he was at third base, had that built-in clock. I had really struggled with that and made a lot of unforced errors. He would dive and sprawl and roll and come up and throw it from weird angles but he always seemed to have that clock that would give him just enough time to get his balance, make accurate throws, and not make unforced errors.”

SportsInfoSolutions.com

There is also a great bit from Eduardo Perez about how a first baseman could not take his eye off a ball hit to third, because Rolen would throw the ball to the bag if you were there or not.

June 14, 2023

Cabrera Homers

Miguel Cabrera of the Tigers hit his first home run of the season Wednesday afternoon, missing the cycle by a triple in a game won by the Braves 10-7. His big day at the plate raised Cabrera’s slash line to .232/.304/.330, a far cry from his days as a superstar. The only years he did not homer in March or April were 2003, when he made his MLB debut on 6/20, and 2020, when the season started late due to COVID.

This kind of makes me wonder if Cabrera should go out on top. He already drew a walk and scored a run in game two. He’s not helping the Tigers offensively. His options are not going to vest since he won’t finish in the top ten in the MVP voting. The Tigers could agree to buy out his contract and allow someone younger and better to DH. Cabrera gets to finish with a marvelous flourish.

May 15, 2023

Yogi

Cy Morong writes about something the new documentary about Yogi Berra proposes, that his baseball prowess has been overlooked:

Berra was voted to start the All-Star game by the fans each year from 1950-57. Then players, coaches, and managers picked the starters after 1957. He was selected to start 3 more times then. So the fans, players, coaches, and managers did not overlook him

Berra got 67.2% of the Hall of Fame vote in his first year of eligibility. Then 85.6% the next year (75% is needed to make it). So those sports writers seemed to understand how good he was.

Cybermetric.Blogspot.com

I suspect the people close to Berra hear the jokes about Yogi’s malapropisms, and think people only know him for those. I suspect there are people like that, but I also suspect those people would not watch the documentary. Any one with a modicum of knowledge about the history of the game knows that Berra was a great catcher.

April 18, 2023

Yankee Stadium Centenial

Today marks 100 years since the opening of “The House that Ruth Built”, the original Yankee Stadium. Joe Guzzardi sends along this guest post:

Opening Day, 1923, the ‘House that Ruth Built’ Begins the Golden Age Baseball Era

Opening Day, 1923, a century ago, dawned cloudy and cold. Babe Ruth woke up in his plush Upper West Side Ansonia Hotel apartment and prepared to play the first-ever game in the brand-new edifice that would become known as the “House that Ruth Built.” Always a snappy dresser, Ruth donned his perfectly tailored suit, then around noon, hopped into his Pierce-Arrow automobile to drive to the Bronx. Had the weather been warmer, Ruth would have selected his sporty Stutz Bearcat.

A notoriously reckless motorist, Ruth had been involved in numerous minor collisions and rarely held a valid driver’s license. To avoid incidents, the Yankees’ owner, Col. Jacob Ruppert, sent police to escort the “Big Bam” safely to the stadium. Along the way, Ruth stopped to sign a few autographs and invited some kids to join him as he roared along.

The largest baseball crowd ever – 74,000, with 25,000 turned away – witnessed a pre-game ceremony befitting the stadium’s grandeur. While New York Gov. Al Smith looked on, John Phillip Sousa led the Seventh Regiment Army Band in full military dress onto the field.

In 1923, Ruth was on a redemption mission, and the new Yankee Stadium, the biggest and most lavish ever built, was the perfect place to carry out his undertaking. Ruth considered his 1922 season a failure. His performance at the plate, for him a paltry .315 batting average with 35 home runs and 99 RBIs, a sharp drop off from 1921, embarrassed Ruth. Moreover, during the season, Ruth was suspended five times. Worst of all, Ruth’s final 1922 baseball appearance was against the New York Giants in the World Series in which Ruth hit a pathetic .188. Giants’ manager John McGraw called every pitch from the bench. Some were slow curves that Ruth swung on, twisting himself into a corkscrew while missing by a mile. During the off-season, McGraw, a scientific baseball genius, chided Ruth whose style of play – the long ball – he disdained. McGraw called Ruth “the Big Baboon” and incorrectly predicted that the home run fad would soon die out. The media and fans got on Ruth too. The New York Sun labeled Ruth “an exploded phenomenon,” and for the first time, Ruth heard boos.

A humbled Ruth vowed to make amends, on and off the field. Over the winter months, Ruth said that liquor never touched his lips. And now the day had come, April 18, against the last place Boston Red Sox, for Ruth to regain respect and admiration from teammates and his millions of fans. Before the game, Ruth said in the locker room that he would “give a year off his life” to hit a homer in the season opener.

Red Sox starter Howard Ehmke, taking a page out of McGraw’s book, tossed junk balls to Ruth, and in the first inning the Bambino flied out. The third inning, however, was a different story. With two Yankees on base, Ruth deposited a titanic homer ten rows back in the right-field bleachers. Rush’s blast made the score 4-0, a lead the Yankees never relinquished.

As the season unfolded, Ruth and the Yankees dominated. The Yankees won the American League pennant by 16 games over the Cleveland Indians. Ruth hit .393, 41 homers, and unanimously won the Most Valuable Player award. Rules at the time prevented any player from winning the MVP more than once.

More, greater redemption awaited Ruth. For the third straight year, the Yankees would meet the Giants in the World Series. In 1921 and 1922, McGraw’s pitch calling and inside baseball strategy outsmarted the Yankees. But, in 1923, the tables turned on McGraw. The Yankees won the series 4-2, Ruth hit .368, three homers, had a .556 on base percentage, and slugged 1.000. A reporter wrote that when one of Ruth’s shots, a 450-foot job, returned to earth, “the ball was covered in ice.”

In defeat, McGraw was uncharacteristically gracious. He strode over to the winners’ locker room to shake hands with everyone – except the Babe. McGraw preferred to talk about the Giants’ hitting star who almost outshone Ruth. Casey Stengel hit .417 with two homers.

Yankee Stadium became a cash cow for Ruppert who reinvested his money in the team’s future, a decision that kept the Yankees atop the American League for years to come. The original Yankee Stadium no longer stands. In 2009, the first game at the new venue took place, and today’s Yankee Stadium is rarely referred to as the “House that Ruth Built.” But Ruth, McGraw and Stengel, despite having passed years ago, are still alive in baseball fans’ hearts.

Joe Guzzardi is a Society for American Baseball Research and Internet Baseball Writers Association member.

April 15, 2023

The Fifteenth

Miguel Cabrera may be playing out his career, but he still has a few big hits in him. He pinch-hit for the Tigers in the bottom of 11th for the Tigers, the game with the Giants tied at six. He delivered an RBI single for the Detroit victory.

That hit gives Cabrera 15 walk-off RBI for his career. The Day by Day Database contains situational hitting data back to 1974, and it that time he is the 33rd player to reach 15 WORBI. The list of other players with 15 is a pretty good one:

Craig Biggio15
George Brett15
Josh Donaldson15
Ron Gant15
Luis Gonzalez15
Chipper Jones15
Carney Lansford15
Fred McGriff15
Tim Raines15
Sammy Sosa15
Miguel Tejada15
Matt Williams15

Albert Pujols owns the most with 22, with Rickey Henderson right behind him at twenty one.

April 15, 2023 February 5, 2023

Numbers Game

The Dodgers announced they will retire the number of Fernando Valenzuela this summer. What struck me is how few numbers the Dodgers retired:

Valenzuela will join Pee Wee Reese, Tommy Lasorda, Duke Snider, Gil Hodges, Jim Gilliam, Don Sutton, Walter Alston, Sandy Koufax, Roy Campanella, Jackie Robinson and Don Drysdale with retired numbers.

ESPN.com

Sutton is the only somewhat modern player on the list. Compare that to the Yankees, the only team in the majors with a better record than the Dodgers since the start of the 1977 season (the year the two teams faced each other in the World Series). The Yankees pretty much retire any number for anyone that was decently good during their tenure, with most of the core of the 1990s champions in Monument Park.

Part of this story is that Dodgers don’t retain players like the Yankees. Since 1977, the Dodgers saw four players accumulate 5000 PA for the team. The Yankees have ten such batters. Would the Dodger retire the numbers of Mike Piazza or Pedro Guerrero when they really didn’t spend that much time with the team?

On the pitching side, using 1500 innings as a marker, the Dodgers saw five pitchers reach that level to four for the Yankees. The Yankees retired two of those number, Ron Guidry and Andy Pettitte. Why did it take the Dodgers so long to retiring Valenzuela’s number, and why have they yet to honor Orel Hershiser? Clayton Kershaw is also on the list, and probably should see the retirement coincide with the day he leaves baseball.

In the end, I suspect the Yankees retired too many numbers, but the Yankees built their greatness around cores of players they kept on the team. The Dodgers built their greatness around the ability to keep their farm system producing, so they could let veterans leave via trade or free agency and keep costs down. In the last 45 years, the career great veteran disappeared from the franchise.

January 24, 2023

No Cain, Some Gain

There were quite a few players on the ballot who received zero votes. One of those was Matt Cain, former pitcher for the Giants. Cain did not make it through his prime years, having his last good season at seasonal age 27. The years leading up to that were good indeed, consistently pitching 200 strong innings and making three All-Star teams. One would think that Cain would have at least one fan among the writers who would throw a vote his way. Bronson Arroyo did get a vote, and Cain was a somewhat better pitcher.

Alex Rodriguez picked up a few votes in his second year on the ballot. I suspect his course will be similar to Bonds and Clemens, where he gets close over the years but does not make the 75%.

Carlos Beltran starts at 46.5%. I think next year is the big one for Beltran. There are likely writers who did not want to give him the first ballot vote due to the Astros sign stealing scandal. If he leaps forward next season, then he’ll likely be in the Hall sooner than later.

It’s fairly clear at this point that Gary Sheffield is not getting elected, and Jeff Kent is now off the ballot after ten tries. Andruw Jones made a very nice leap upward, and I suspect he’ll reach the 75% threshold in a couple of years.

January 24, 2023 January 24, 2023

Hall of Fame Day

The Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) reveal the results of their Hall of Fame voting Tuesday night at 6 PM EST on MLB Network. The Hall of Fame vote tracker shows 47% of the ballots revealed, with Todd Helton leading at 80% of the votes and Scott Rolen at 79%. I find it a bit surprising that Helton is ahead of Rolen. Over the years, the people who make their ballots public tend to be “Big Hall” voters, so if either of these candidates make the 75% threshold, I suspect it will be by a hair.

It also appears that Carlos Beltran and Francisco Rodriguez will be the only first year players to remain on the ballot.

January 21, 2023

Bando Passes

Former third baseman and general manager Sal Bando died Friday after a five year bout with cancer. He was a stalwart of the 1970s Oakland Athletics championship teams:

Bando won three consecutive world championships as captain of the A’s from 1972 to 1974, leading the American League in extra-base hits (64), doubles (32) and total bases (295) during the 1973 season, when he hit .287 while playing in all 162 games.

ESPN.com

My thoughts go out to his family and friends.

Bando batted .254 for his career, but posted a .352 OBP, something that was not as appreciated when he played. While he had some decent years slugging, his power was not great overall, and playing in the Oakland Coliseum did not help. He did consistently post high rWARs, however, averaging 5.4 rWAR a season from 1968 to 1978. His best season came early in his prime, seasonal age 25 in 1969. he took advantage of the lowered mound that season to hit 31 home runs among his 59 extra base hits and draw 111 walks for a .281/.400/.484 slash line. While he did not reach quite that level again, he was a championship ballplayer for many years.

December 30, 2022

Remembering Clemente

Jason Mackey reflects on Roberto Clemente‘s lasting legacy as the fiftieth anniversary of his death in a plane crash. He was on his way to help in relief efforts after an earthquake in Nicaragua.

My family went to visit old friends that day, a couple that was very close to my grandmother. Both my mom and aunt worked as baby sitters for the couple’s children. One of the sons-in-law had received a copy of the second edition of MacMillan’s The Baseball Encyclopedia for Christmas. I was fascinated by the book, and as I was leafing through the pages, the son-in-law asked if we had heard that Clemente had died. My dad and I were both shocked.

Clemente was near the end of his career when I started watching baseball. I mostly saw him during the 1971 post-season, in which he played well during both the NLCS and the World Series. Mostly I remembered his great arm:

The article speaks with people who remember so much more about the man, not just the ballplayer.

December 27, 2022

Early Tracker

The Hall of Fame Ballot Tracker discovered just 38 ballots so far, but the trend looks to me like no one getting elected this season. Both Todd Helton and Scott Rolen stand at 77%. Since voters who make their ballots public tend to be “big hall” voters, I don’t think either is polling high enough in this group to over come the private ballot voters.

Helton posted some monster years in his prime with 37.5 of his 61.8 rWAR coming in five seasons from ages 26 to 30. His career .414 OBP and .539 slugging percentages are outstanding. The big draw back for Helton is the Coors advantage. In home games he batted .345/.441/.607. In away games that dropped to .287/.386/.469. Note that he hit 28 triples in home games, just nine on the road.

Rolen best years stretched out over a long period, posting 46.2 of his 70.1 rWAR in eight seasons from ages 22 to 29. He also played a tougher position, third base instead of first. He won eight gold gloves and was Rookie of the Year in 1997. Rolen’s home/road numbers are more aligned also. He did a better job getting on base in his home parks, but hit more homers on the road.

My feeling is that Rolen should get in to the Hall. I would not be upset with Helton gaining recognition, but his case is weaker.