For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.327 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Nathan Eovaldi.
• 0.319 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Kyle Gibson.
• 0.313 — Donovan Solano batting against Sean Manaea.
• 0.286 — Wilmer Flores batting against Sean Manaea.
• 0.281 — Giovanny Urshela batting against Nathan Eovaldi.
• 0.281 — Tim Anderson batting against Adam Wainwright.
• 0.280 — Daniel Murphy batting against Kyle Gibson.
• 0.279 — Ketel Marte batting against Cal Quantrill.
• 0.278 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Steven Matz.
• 0.277 — Starling Marte batting against Cal Quantrill.

The three qualifying .400 hitters make the top of the list. Any one of them gave you good results this season. Here are their probabilities of hitting .400 for the season. It’s also a good day to be a Marte.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.319, 0.748 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Kyle Gibson.
• 0.327, 0.748 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Nathan Eovaldi.
• 0.313, 0.719 — Donovan Solano batting against Sean Manaea.
• 0.281, 0.713 — Tim Anderson batting against Adam Wainwright.
• 0.274, 0.711 — Hanser Alberto batting against Patrick Corbin.
• 0.279, 0.703 — Ketel Marte batting against Cal Quantrill.
• 0.262, 0.703 — Howie Kendrick batting against Asher Wojciechowski.
• 0.266, 0.700 — Tim Anderson batting against Alexander Reyes.
• 0.280, 0.696 — Daniel Murphy batting against Kyle Gibson.
• 0.277, 0.696 — Starling Marte batting against Cal Quantrill.

Note that although I post probabilities to three decimal places, the sort is on the more precise calculation. So Blackmon is first in this list. He is tied with LeMahieu for the consensus top two picks.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!