For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.320 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Dustin May.
• 0.304 — Ketel Marte batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.290 — Tim Anderson batting against Kyle Hendricks.
• 0.287 — Starling Marte batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.282 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Robert Erlin.
• 0.282 — David Peralta batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.280 — Hanser Alberto batting against Martin Perez.
• 0.276 — Mookie Betts batting against Kyle Freeland.
• 0.275 — Didi Gregorius batting against Robert Erlin.
• 0.273 — Franmil Reyes batting against Matt Boyd.

Blackmon continues to maintain a .400 BA, now at .417. He would need to go 0 for 6 to fall below .400. May walks few batters, so he should give Blackmon a chance to put a good pitch in play.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.320, 0.744 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Dustin May.
• 0.304, 0.725 — Ketel Marte batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.290, 0.722 — Tim Anderson batting against Kyle Hendricks.
• 0.280, 0.717 — Hanser Alberto batting against Martin Perez.
• 0.265, 0.705 — Howie Kendrick batting against Daniel Castano.
• 0.265, 0.703 — Howie Kendrick batting against Sixto Sanchez.
• 0.287, 0.701 — Starling Marte batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.282, 0.691 — David Peralta batting against Tyler Anderson.
• 0.257, 0.687 — Donovan Solano batting against Zac Gallen.
• 0.276, 0.686 — Mookie Betts batting against Kyle Freeland.
• 0.282, 0.686 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Robert Erlin.
• 0.252, 0.686 — Wilmer Flores batting against Zac Gallen.

You can pick Howie Kendrick in either game of the doubleheader. Remember, however, that the probabilities are pretty much based on a full game, so in a seven inning affair, batters likely get fewer plate appearances.

Blackmon and Ketel Marte and the unanimous 1-2 picks.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!