For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.329 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Ross Stripling.
• 0.317 — Hanser Alberto batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.310 — Donovan Solano batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.305 — Wilmer Flores batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.291 — Alex Verdugo batting against Wade LeBlanc.
• 0.288 — Anthony Santander batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.284 — Trevor Story batting against Ross Stripling.
• 0.283 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Wade LeBlanc.
• 0.283 — Brandon Lowe batting against Trent Thornton.
• 0.282 — Miguel Rojas batting against Anibal Sanchez.
• 0.282 — Ketel Marte batting against Trevor Cahill.

Blackmon went 0 for 4 Saturday night, and can fall under .400 with a poor game today. Looks like the Red Sox are expected to have a good day against Wade LeBlanc.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.329, 0.749 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Ross Stripling.
• 0.317, 0.732 — Hanser Alberto batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.310, 0.718 — Donovan Solano batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.305, 0.717 — Wilmer Flores batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.282, 0.712 — Ketel Marte batting against Trevor Cahill.
• 0.264, 0.706 — Tim Anderson batting against Yu Darvish.
• 0.262, 0.701 — Howie Kendrick batting against Humberto Mejia.
• 0.291, 0.697 — Alex Verdugo batting against Wade LeBlanc.
• 0.260, 0.694 — Whit Merrifield batting against Matt Wisler.
• 0.284, 0.692 — Trevor Story batting against Ross Stripling.

Blackmon’s hitless day ended the NN streak at seven games, the longest of the season so far. Blackmon and Alberto stand as the 1-2 picks.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!