For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Methold picks:

• 0.315 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Merrill Kelly.
• 0.281 — Howie Kendrick batting against Pablo Lopez.
• 0.275 — Brandon Lowe batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.274 — Trea Turner batting against Pablo Lopez.
• 0.272 — Ketel Marte batting against Ryan Castellani.
• 0.270 — Trevor Story batting against Merrill Kelly.
• 0.269 — Yandy Diaz batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.265 — Nick Castellanos batting against Brett Anderson.
• 0.265 — Joey Wendle batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.265 — Nelson Cruz batting against Aaron Civale.

Blackmon stands 45 for 111 on the season, a .405 BA. An 0 for 3 takes him below .400, however. The team moves to Arizona, however, which is a good park for hitters. He is hitting .365/.411/.500 on the road.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.315, 0.747 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Merrill Kelly.
• 0.281, 0.715 — Howie Kendrick batting against Pablo Lopez.
• 0.272, 0.705 — Ketel Marte batting against Ryan Castellani.
• 0.274, 0.688 — Trea Turner batting against Pablo Lopez.
• 0.270, 0.686 — Trevor Story batting against Merrill Kelly.
• 0.260, 0.679 — Corey Dickerson batting against Austin Voth.
• 0.265, 0.676 — Nelson Cruz batting against Aaron Civale.
• 0.247, 0.676 — Whit Merrifield batting against Jack Flaherty.
• 0.255, 0.674 — Michael Brantley batting against Patrick Sandoval.
• 0.251, 0.673 — Starling Marte batting against Ryan Castellani.
• 0.258, 0.673 — David Fletcher batting against Framber Valdez.
• 0.275, 0.673 — Brandon Lowe batting against Tanner Roark.

Blackmon tops the list again and Kendrick is the consensus second pick.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!