For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.307 — Ketel Marte batting against Jonathan Gray.
• 0.301 — Hanser Alberto batting against Trevor Richards.
• 0.301 — Tim Anderson batting against Trevor Williams.
• 0.294 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Robbie Ray.
• 0.292 — Alex Verdugo batting against Wilmer Font.
• 0.292 — Mookie Betts batting against Kevin Gausman.
• 0.289 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Wilmer Font.
• 0.288 — Corey Seager batting against Kevin Gausman.
• 0.288 — Starling Marte batting against Jonathan Gray.
• 0.287 — Jose Abreu batting against Trevor Williams.

Ketel Marte puts the ball in play. Since the start of the 2018 season, he struck out just 182 times, and walked 111 times in 1337 PA. A number of battters in this era could be expected to strike out 182 times in a single season.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.294, 0.729 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Robbie Ray.
• 0.301, 0.728 — Tim Anderson batting against Trevor Williams.
• 0.307, 0.725 — Ketel Marte batting against Jonathan Gray.
• 0.301, 0.723 — Hanser Alberto batting against Trevor Richards.
• 0.288, 0.698 — Starling Marte batting against Jonathan Gray.
• 0.292, 0.698 — Mookie Betts batting against Kevin Gausman.
• 0.292, 0.697 — Alex Verdugo batting against Wilmer Font.
• 0.287, 0.697 — Jose Abreu batting against Trevor Williams.
• 0.289, 0.695 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Wilmer Font.
• 0.244, 0.691 — Howie Kendrick batting against Aaron Nola.

Blackmon went 0 for 3 with two walks Tuesday night to fall below .400. Ketel Marte is the consensus first pick, with Blackmon second.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!