For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.349 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.320 — Hanser Alberto batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.311 — Trea Turner batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.309 — Jose Iglesias batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.307 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Chris Paddack.
• 0.306 — Tim Anderson batting against Kris Bubic.
• 0.306 — Howie Kendrick batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.298 — Luke Voit batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.295 — Giovanny Urshela batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.287 — Mike Tauchman batting against Rick Porcello.

LeMahieu returned to the Yankees lineup on Saturday with a triple in four trips to keep his batting average above .400. The Log5 Method likes most of the Yankees against Porcello, as the league hits .336/.373/.487 against him this season.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.349, 0.757 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.320, 0.745 — Hanser Alberto batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.307, 0.735 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Chris Paddack.
• 0.306, 0.734 — Howie Kendrick batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.306, 0.734 — Tim Anderson batting against Kris Bubic.
• 0.309, 0.727 — Jose Iglesias batting against Tanner Roark.
• 0.311, 0.721 — Trea Turner batting against Zachary Godley.
• 0.261, 0.708 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Seth Lugo.
• 0.295, 0.698 — Giovanny Urshela batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.266, 0.697 — Ketel Marte batting against Johnny Cueto.

You could actually double down with LeMahieu today, as he rates well in both ends of the double header. Note that the twin bill is also a reason not to choose the Yankees infielder, as the games go just seven innings, so batters get fewer opportunities to get hits. Alberto is the unanimous second choice.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!