For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.340 — Trea Turner batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.311 — Juan Soto batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.301 — Donovan Solano batting against Chris Paddack.
• 0.299 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Sandy Alcantara.
• 0.298 — David Peralta batting against Antonio Senzatela.
• 0.297 — Alex Verdugo batting against Kyle Wright.
• 0.296 — Freddie Freeman batting against Chris Mazza.
• 0.295 — Lourdes Gurriel batting against Jorge Lopez.
• 0.292 — Jeff McNeil batting against Max Scherzer.
• 0.291 — Travis D’Arnaud batting against Chris Mazza.
• 0.291 — Tim Anderson batting against Yu Darvish.

The BABIP against Porcello this season stands at .363. He keeps the ball in the park, however.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.299, 0.741 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Sandy Alcantara.
• 0.340, 0.741 — Trea Turner batting against Rick Porcello.
• 0.291, 0.735 — Tim Anderson batting against Yu Darvish.
• 0.301, 0.728 — Donovan Solano batting against Chris Paddack.
• 0.284, 0.725 — Jose Iglesias batting against Taijuan Walker.
• 0.297, 0.721 — Alex Verdugo batting against Kyle Wright.
• 0.292, 0.718 — Jeff McNeil batting against Max Scherzer.
• 0.276, 0.717 — Salvador Perez batting against Spencer Turnbull.
• 0.298, 0.709 — David Peralta batting against Antonio Senzatela.
• 0.295, 0.709 — Lourdes Gurriel batting against Jorge Lopez.

Alcantara’s BABIP, on the other hand, is .258. He does give up one home run per nine innings, and the game is at Yankee Stadium.

Turner is the consensus first pick, with LeMahieu second.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!