November 23, 2020

The Return on Lindor

Daniel Hahn looks at potential trade partners for the Indians as Cleveland works on trading Francisco Lindor before he becomes a free agent at the end of the 2021 season. I don’t fully agree with this paragraph:

The challenge in any Francisco Lindor trade is that the return will not equal what Lindor presently brings to the Cleveland Indians. Chris Antonetti will be looking to cut costs, but since Lindor is probably a 1-year rental, don’t expect the significant hauls we’ve heard rumored this time last off-season. For the Indians to make a successful trade, any top prospect(s) and some multi-year controlled MLB ready assets will be a win.

AwayBackGone.com

From reading various posts about Lindor over the last few weeks, many teams expressed interest in the second baseman. In that way, the trade from the Indians point of view is really an auction. The highest bidder wins Lindor’s services, and in an auction, the winner pays too much. That is, they are willing to pay a price no one else will match. With that in mind, I suspect the long-term value of the trade will be very close to even for the Indians.

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