March 31, 2021

Predicting Wins

Odds makers tend to do a good job of predictions, as they blend their own expertise with the information from actual bets made by the public. Here are the wins for each team from www.betonline.ag:

  • Los Angeles Dodgers                103½
  • New York Yankees                    95½
  • San Diego Padres                     95½
  • Atlanta Braves                           91½      (Opened at 92½)
  • Chicago White Sox                    90½ 
  • New York Mets                          90½      (Opened at 89½)
  • Minnesota Twins                       88½
  • Houston Astros                         87½
  • Toronto Blue Jays                     87½ 
  • Oakland Athletics                      86½
  • St. Louis Cardinals                    86½      (Opened at 87½)
  • Tampa Bay Rays                       85½      (Opened at 86½)
  • Washington Nationals                84½
  • Los Angeles Angels                   83½      (Opened at 81½)
  • Milwaukee Brewers                   83½      (Opened at 82½)
  • Cincinnati Reds                         81½      (Opened at 83½)
  • Philadelphia Phillies                   81½
  • Boston Red Sox                        80½      (Opened at 79½)
  • Cleveland Indians                      80½
  • Chicago Cubs                           78½      (Opened at 80½)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks              75½
  • San Francisco Giants                75½
  • Kansas City Royals                   74½      (Opened at 71½)
  • Seattle Mariners                        72½      (Opened at 71½)
  • Miami Marlins                            71½      (Opened at 72½)
  • Detroit Tigers                            67½      (Opened at 65½)
  • Texas Rangers                          67½
  • Baltimore Orioles                       63½ 
  • Colorado Rockies                      62½      (Opened at 63½)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates                      59½      (Opened at 58½)

I would be tempted to take the over on the Dodgers. I might also take the over on the Cardinals, since most division winners wind up with more than 86 victories.

On the other side, the under on the Marlins might be safe, since the NL East is full of really good teams, and the Marlins are the only one out of that category.

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