It Tuesday was a decent day for the Massive tie scenarios. The AL West tie got an infusion as the Rangers fell to the Angels 9-3 and the Mariners downed the Astros 6-2. The independent calculation of the probability of a three-way is 0.01, but the games are not independent. Right now, the Mariners trail the Rangers by three games. They must go into their four-game head-to-head series an even number of games out to have the possibility of a tie. So the Rangers and Mariners need to have different outcomes today for a three-way tie to be possible. So there is a 50% chance this scenario ends tonight.

In the NL Wild Card, the Reds won to keep their hopes alive. The Diamondbacks won and the Cubs lost, while the Marlins were rained out. Miami plays a doubleheader today against the Mets. The probability of a three-way tie between Arizona, Chicago, and Miami stands at 0.044, or 1 in 22 chances. The four-way tie is still a long-shot at 0.0056.

The best results for today would be:

• The Diamondbacks fall to the White Sox.
• The Marlins sweep the Mets.
• The Reds defeat the Guardians.
• The Cubs scalp the Braves.
• The Rangers fall to the Angels.
• The Mariners rocket by the Astros.

If the Mariners win and the Rangers lose, then Seattle needs to take three of four over the weekend to force a tie. If the Rangers win and the Mariners lose, then Seattle needs to sweep.