July 21, 2024

Hall Futures

Tom Tango posted this yesterday:

One way to get a handle on this for hitters is to look for lots of plate appearances young. Here is the list of batters active in 2024 with the most PA through their age 24 season:

BatterAge 24 SeasonPA
Mike Trout20163558
Juan Soto20233375
Manny Machado20173365
Bryce Harper20173262
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.20232843
Jason Heyward20142819
Xander Bogaerts20172652
Giancarlo Stanton20142640
Freddie Freeman20142616
Francisco Lindor20182590
Ozzie Albies20212440
Carlos Correa20192362
Rafael Devers20212344
Mookie Betts20172309
Ronald Acuna20222297
Jose Altuve20142243
Christian Yelich20162117
Cody Bellinger20202083
Andrew Benintendi20192052
Active Players, 2000 PA through their age 24 season.

Lots of PA early gives batters a chance to build high counting stats over time. It also indicates special talent; these players were so good they could come up early and stay in the lineup.

I would say nine of the nineteen listed here have pretty good Hall of Fame chances. Three of the top four likely made their case already, and Soto doesn’t need to do much more. Freeman, Devers, Betts, Acuna, and Altuve seem likely. Albies might surprise us if he lasts a long time. Even among the ones not likely to make it, there are a few MVPs and lots of big contracts.

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