The White Sox beat the Athletics 4-3 on Sunday. Bryan Ramos starred at the plate with a double and a home run. Sean Burke, in his first start, held the Athletics to two runs in five innings. It is the first time Chicago won two games in a row since June 29th, when they completed a run of three games in a row.
Chicago needs to win six more games to finish with a higher winning percentage than the 1962 Mets (.250). Here are the three generous estimates of their intrinsic winning percentage and probability of no more than 40 wins:
| Method | Intrinsic WPct | Probability of No More than 40 Wins |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on actual wins | 0.303 | 0.877 |
| Replacement Level | 0.296 | 0.888 |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on Pythagorean wins (+7) | 0.353 | 0.781 |
Chicago only needs four more wins to finish with a better winning percentage than the 1916 Athletics. That team went 36-117, a .2353 winning percentage. If the White wind up 38-124, they would own a .2346 winning percentage, and set the modern record for lowest winning percentage in a season. Here are the probabilities for that happening:
| Method | Intrinsic WPct | Probability of No More than 38 Wins |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on actual wins | 0.303 | 0.483 |
| Replacement Level | 0.296 | 0.505 |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on Pythagorean wins (+7) | 0.353 | 0.339 |
They are almost certain to finish worse than the 1962 Mets. The two wins in a row make finishing worse than the 1916 Athletics less likely. It going to be close, but they have an okay chance of finishing better than the A’s and worse than the Mets.