Jim Albert talks about streakiness in home run hitting.

Update: Model successes in time as a binary string, look at spacing (slumps).

Update: Use a Bayes factor to compare a consistent to a streaky model.

Update: As far as hits go, there are players who have streaky seasons, but models predict the observed data. It is luck.

Update: Strikeouts and HR rates more consistent from year to year than BA. Look for streakiness there. In fact there is streakiness in these stats.

Update: Yaz very streaky HR hitter, Aaron very consistent.