Tag Archives: Ben Gamel

July 6, 2021

Best Batter Today

Washington’s 7-5 win over the Padres produced two top five players in the Baseball Musings Batter Rankings. Fernando Tatis Jr.of the Padres homered in five trips to the plate to stay on top of the leaderboard. Trea Turner of the Nationals went two for four with a walk and a home run to move into the fifth slot. With Carlos Correa still fourth after a night off for Houston, three shortstops are among the best hitters in the game.

Sunday at a Shiva I ran into a friend of a friend, and we started talking baseball. He had not been to a game for a while, but recently went to a major league stadium. The thing that stood out to him was how much bigger the players looked than he remembered. When I was young, it was thought that tall players did not make good shortstops, as the height took away from defense. Ed Brinkman, who was six feet tall and a good shortstop moved the needle a little bit away from that, then Cal Ripken Jr. at six feet four inches blew that out of the water. Today, shortstops can be big, powerful, and good defensively. Tatis stands six feet three inches, Turner six feet two inches, and Correa six feet four inches.

Vladimir Guerrero remains second as the Blue Jays took the day off. Max Muncy of the Dodgers sits in third place as he did not start in a 5-4 Miami victory.

The best game score of the day goes to Ben Gamel of the Pirates, an 82. Gamel hit the Braves for a three for five night with a double and two home runs, driving in six. The Pirates take the game 11-1. Gamel is not having a great year overall, but his slugging picked up since joining the Pirates with an isolated power of .225.

July 25, 2020

Bad Rundown

The Cubs defense just failed to execute a basic rundown. Lorenzo Cain is on second after a double, then Ben Gamel hits a ground ball up the middle. Cain gets involved in a run down, long enough to get Gamel to second base. as Cain is heading back to second, he notices that no one is covering first base. Cain points to Gamel to head back, Cain retakes second, and Gamel winds up back on first. I think the Cubs gave up on tagging Cain, since they thought they would get him when there would be two men on second. I expect the Cubs defense to be better than that. They are all veterans now.

A very nice job by Cain to be aware of what is going on. Cain comes around to score on a two-out single, and the Brewers tie the Cubs 1-1 in the top of the second inning.

December 22, 2018

Blog Headline of the Day

U.S.S. Mariner starts off their analysis of the Brewers trade with the Mariners with this:


Mariners, Brewers Swap Extraneous OFs; Brewers a Good Team to Swap Extraneous OFs With

U.S.S. Mariner

Ben Gamel and Domingo Santana are good players. I was a bit surprised to see Santana traded, but as Marc W points out neither fit on their current team well. The Brewers need a good, part-time outfielder, and the Mariners needed a good every day bat. It’s a nice example of trade benefitting both parties, and the players involved. They are both going into situation where they can find more success.

December 28, 2017

Random Player Report

The random evil player program chose Ben Gamel for a random report. Gamel is an outfielder for the Seattle Mariners who produced a decent season in 2017, his first full year in the majors. He was pretty much a league average hitter, posting a .275/.322/.413 slash line, versus .256/.324/.429 for the league. He got more hits than the average player, but didn’t produce much power. He’s basically a one-WAR player.

His numbers are what one would expect moving from AAA to MLB. He is already in his prime, so he will not be a star. Gamel will be useful, however. He is not an out machine. His high BA means that not only does he preserve rallies, he moves runners with hits. I think he would be most effective as a number seven or number nine hitter, but his best slots in 2017 were #1 and #2. Both were small sample sizes, but it could be those slots focus him more toward getting on base.

June 22, 2017

The Gamel Gambit

U.S.S. Mariner wonders what will happen when the league adjusts to Ben Gamel‘s ability to hit the fast ball:

However, pitchers have been known to get a little tricky and throw things *other* than fastballs. When they’ve done so, Gamel’s…Gamel doesn’t like it when they do that. His xwOBA on something other than a fastball ranks 440th out of 506 batters. Instead of beating out Mike Trout or Nellie Cruz, he ranks just ahead of Robbie Ray, Matt Harvey and Ty Blach. Those are pitchers. If we go with actual, not estimated, production and let his good luck work for him, he pulls ahead of the pitchers, but still has a wOBA safely under .200. If we go back to pitch type run values, we see his production on sliders is like the inverse of his fastball production: he ranks 6th *worst* in baseball on sliders, and the same asterisk still applies: he ranks 6th worst in a counting stat despite racking up far fewer plate appearances than many players who began the year in the majors.

Have pitchers noticed? Eh, not really…not yet, anyway.

Pitchers might continue to throw him fastballs, because Gamel looks like someone who might not be able to hit the fastball. He is listed as 5-11, 187 pounds, so he’s not exactly a hulk at the plate. Pitchers like to throw their fastballs by batters, even when it might not be the best strategy. When pitchers look at Gamel at the plate, they see someone who might not be able to handle the the heater. As long as that persists, Gamel should do well.

June 19, 2017

Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here. I added a graph that gives a visual representation of the probability and success each day. The sheet also includes a table that summarizes the length of positive and negative streaks.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.336 — Daniel Murphy batting against Justin Nicolino
0.320 — Ben Gamel batting against Anibal Sanchez
0.319 — Jon Jay batting against Clayton Richard
0.307 — Ryan Zimmerman batting against Justin Nicolino
0.306 — Robinson Cano batting against Anibal Sanchez
0.306 — Corey Dickerson batting against Scott Feldman
0.305 — Matt Kemp batting against Johnny Cueto
0.302 — Brandon Phillips batting against Johnny Cueto
0.302 — Jose Altuve batting against Daniel Gossett
0.302 — Albert Almora batting against Clayton Richard

The 2016 season weight heavily on Nicolino right now. He allowed .307 BA with a .348 OBP, so he was hittable. His 2017 numbers still represent a small sample size. Murphy is a pretty good bet against any pitcher, however. Gamel is one of the hottest hitters in the league right now.

Here is how the NN with Park ranks the players:

0.336, 0.778 — Daniel Murphy batting against Justin Nicolino.
0.302, 0.744 — Jose Altuve batting against Daniel Gossett.
0.301, 0.733 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Jason Hammel.
0.302, 0.733 — Brandon Phillips batting against Johnny Cueto.
0.298, 0.730 — Justin Turner batting against Zack Wheeler.
0.306, 0.730 — Corey Dickerson batting against Scott Feldman.
0.296, 0.729 — Buster Posey batting against R.A. Dickey.
0.305, 0.726 — Matt Kemp batting against Johnny Cueto.
0.291, 0.726 — Trea Turner batting against Justin Nicolino.
0.320, 0.724 — Benjamin Gamel batting against Anibal Sanchez.

Murphy is the unanimous pick, but Altuve and Gamel flip places. That’s probably right, as Altuve has a lengthier track record of success.

As always, your best pick will fail to get a hit about 25% of the time.

Here is the daily list of active streaks of plate appearances without a hit, with pitchers eliminated:

Batter PA since Last Hit
Michael Freeman 29
Jett Bandy 24
Raul Mondesi 23
Daniel Robertson 23
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 23
Kyle Higashioka 20
Conor Gillaspie 19
Aaron Hill 17
Robbie Grossman 15
Jose Pirela 15
Greg Bird 15
Jorge Polanco 14
Emilio Bonifacio 14
Cristhian Adames 14
Ryan Schimpf 14
Peter Kozma 13
Chris Coghlan 13
Jesus Sucre 12
Domingo Santana 12
Leonys Martin 12
Matthew Szczur 12
Nolan Fontana 12
Kelby Tomlinson 12
Giancarlo Stanton 12
Starling Marte 11
Deven Marrero 11
Miguel Sano 11
Rio Ruiz 11
Elvis Andrus 11
Craig Gentry 11
Matt Olson 11
Orlando Calixte 11
Kevin Plawecki 11
Greg Garcia 11
Danny Ortiz 11
Stuart Turner 11
C.J. Cron 11
Scott Van Slyke 10
Ryan Braun 10
Adrian Gonzalez 10
Kris Bryant 10
Tyler Collins 10
Jared W. Hoying 10
Boog Powell 10
Joey Rickard 10
Luis Sardinas 10
Yandy Diaz 10
JaCoby Jones 10

Good luck!

June 17, 2017

Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here. I added a graph that gives a visual representation of the probability and success each day. The sheet also includes a table that summarizes the length of positive and negative streaks.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.342 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Matt Cain
0.338 — Jose Altuve batting against Rick Porcello
0.327 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Matt Cain
0.318 — Benjamin Gamel batting against Martin Perez
0.316 — David Peralta batting against Jerad Eickhoff
0.311 — Avisail Garcia batting against Marcus Stroman
0.311 — Justin Turner batting against Asher Wojciechowski
0.311 — Nolan Arenado batting against Matt Cain
0.305 — Trey Mancini batting against Adam Wainwright
0.304 — Robinson Cano batting against Martin Perez

Note that there is a double header between the Indians and Twins on Saturday. That makes choosing a player from one of those games difficult, since it is sometimes tough to know who is going to rest in one of the games. The Rockies against Matt Cain should provide a target rich environment for players advancing their hit streaks. Opponents hit for a high batting average against Cain over the last three seasons, although Cain pitched well at Coors Field in that time.

Ben Gamel, in his first full year, is hitting for a high average and getting on base. This is an equal weighting of one-year and weighted three-year hit averages, so Gamel makes this list but not the Neural Network. Keep you eye on the Mariners rightfielder.

Here is how the NN with Park ranks the players:

0.342, 0.767 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Matt Cain.
0.338, 0.758 — Jose Altuve batting against Rick Porcello.
0.327, 0.755 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Matt Cain.
0.297, 0.751 — Daniel Murphy batting against Seth Lugo.
0.316, 0.739 — David Peralta batting against Jerad Eickhoff.
0.311, 0.737 — Justin Turner batting against Asher Wojciechowski.
0.294, 0.733 — Buster Posey batting against Kyle Freeland.
0.295, 0.732 — Brandon Phillips batting against Jeff Locke.
0.302, 0.731 — Xander Bogaerts batting against David Paulino.
0.302, 0.731 — Matt Kemp batting against Jeff Locke.

Kemp is day to day and did not play on Friday. Blackmon is the consensus pick, with the two system agreeing on the top three batters. Blackmon is 6 for 20 against Cain in his career with only three strikeouts.

As always, your best pick will fail to get a hit about 25% of the time.

Here is the daily list of active streaks of plate appearances without a hit, with pitchers eliminated:

Batter PA since Last Hit
Michael Freeman 29
Carlos Gonzalez 26
Jeff Mathis 23
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 23
Raul Mondesi 23
Jett Bandy 21
Kyle Higashioka 20
Michael Saunders 20
Conor Gillaspie 19
Omar Narvaez 19
Todd Frazier 18
Zack Cozart 17
Darwin Barney 17
Brandon Belt 16
Greg Bird 15
Odubel Herrera 15
Cristhian Adames 14
Ryan Schimpf 14
Emilio Bonifacio 14
Chris Coghlan 13
Chase D'Arnaud 13
Ehire Adrianza 12
Jose Lobaton 12
Kevin Pillar 12
Leonys Martin 12
Nolan Fontana 12
Orlando Calixte 11
Logan Forsythe 11
Danny Ortiz 11
Deven Marrero 11
Craig Gentry 11
Cliff Pennington 11
Kevin Plawecki 11
Starling Marte 11
Matt Olson 11
Peter Kozma 11
Boog Powell 10
Nelson Cruz 10
Luis Sardinas 10
Stuart Turner 10
Tyler Collins 10
Daniel Robertson 10
Jared Hoying 10
Adrian Gonzalez 10
Scott Van Slyke 10
JaCoby Jones 10
Ryan Braun 10
Hanley Ramirez 10
Yandy Diaz 10

So if Yandy Diaz married Jett Bandy he’d be Yandy Bandy!

Good luck!