March 27, 2013

Team Offense, Seattle Mariners

The series on team offense continues with the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners finished twenty seventh in the majors and last in the American League in 2012 with 3.82 runs scored per game.

The CBSSports.com projected lineup that Eric Wedge may use is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results:

  • Best lineup: 4.36
  • Probable lineup: 4.30
  • Worst lineup: 4.10
  • Regressed lineup: 4.10

The Mariners added much needed power with Mike Morse and Kendrys Morales. Eric Wedge gets the bottom of the order right, but I have no idea why he stuck Michael Saunders in the lead-off slot. Michael did show the ability to get on base in the minors, but that hasn’t translated to the majors yet. As he enters his age 25 season, he needs to step up that part of his game.

There is plenty of upside to the Mariners lineup as Jesus Montero, Justin Smoak, Dustin Ackely, and Kyle Seager are all young enough to be improving. It’s the type of core that could suddenly gel, in which case having the power veterans around could give the team a big boost in offense. They may be a year away, but good things should be coming for the Mariners.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

Previous posts in the series:

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