Team Offense, Miami Marlins

The series on team offense continues with the Miami Marlins. The Marlins finished twenty ninth in the majors and fifteenth in the National League in 2012 with 3.76 runs scored per game.

The CBSSports.com projected lineup that Mike Redmond may use is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers, the team’s 2012 results were used. That information produces the following results:

Best lineup: 4.39
Probable lineup: 4.05
Worst lineup: 3.70
Regressed lineup: 3.92

One thing forgotten in the fire sales and stadium scandals: The Marlins have a really good baseball operations front office. The team will play a legitimate heart of the order. Giancarlo Stanton and Rob Brantly are young and improving. They are surrounded by plenty of over-the-hill players, but if that group does a decent job of getting on base, the Marlins will score some runs.

The Marlins are an ephemeral team. The build quickly, they tear down quickly. They don’t wait around years for something to pay off. When they make a mistake, they move on, rather than wait years to see if the mistake gets corrected. Unfortunately, they pulled this in a year when they were supposed to be good. I’m guessing it will take a new owner to bring the fans back to the park, not just a winning team.

The Marlins offense will probably be better than you thought. It might not help their record that much, however.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

Previous posts in the series:

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March 28, 2013

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